THE ORPHANS MUST DIE
THE TREE MUST DIE
Consequences
The following consequences are observed in the quest Return to Crookback Bog depending on your choice of whether to free or kill the trapped spirit:
Spirit dies: If Geralt kills the spirit (whether through direct fighting or tricking it), the village of Downwarren is safe. The orphans in the bog, however, are taken by the Crones, most likely to be eaten. Anna, while left alive, goes crazy over the loss and her husband takes her away from the bog to seek help from far away.
Spirit is free: If the spirit is freed, it saves the children from the Crones, and eventually places them in the care of Marabella at Novigrad. However, the spirit attacks Downwarren, killing most of the villagers. The Crones punish Anna for losing the children and curse her as a water hag. When Geralt removes the curse, Anna dies due to the nature of the curse keeping her alive, and her husband commits suicide over the loss.
Spirit is freed BEFORE consulting the Ealdorman: If the player releases the spirit before consulting the Ealdorman in the Ladies of the Wood quest the game will have an odd consequence in the Return to Crookback Bog quest. The village of Downwarren will be attacked but Anna will not be turned into a water hag. Additionally a dialogue element will give the impression that the orphans have been saved, this turns out not to be true as there is no reference to the orphans' survival later in Novigrad as there normally is when they are saved.
If the spirit dies before consulting the Ealdorman: the normal spirit dies consequence occurs.
Notes
If you released the spirit and keep up with Black Beauty, she'll eventually reach a bridge where a bandit camp is just southwest of Crossroads and then disappear.
If freed, time will automatically move ahead to just before midnight. This was most likely done to show off the glowing red eyes of the horse as they can't be seen as clearly in the day.
Dialogue with the ealdorman in Downwarren changes depending if you already dealt with the spirit or not.
HORSE LOCATION
Initially, she'll run to a bridge over a bandit camp just southwest of Crossroads and disappear, but later she can be found in the swamps east of The Orphans of Crookback Bog signpost.
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